Bonjour,
Je viens vous demander si l’expected value et un parametre a prendre en compte lorsque l on joue des SNG
En faite je vous explique, je suis en general un joueur plutot gagnant dans les SNG.
Je joue un jeux assez solide avec quelques erreurs mais bon j’apprend encore :-).
Et voila j ai decide aujourd hui de faire un bilan de ma semaine. Je joue en moyenne 35 a 40 sng par jour.
Lors de ce bilan je remarque :
Que j ai perdu 77 € [snif].
Et holdem manager me dit que j ai une expected value de 150 €
Je trouve cet ecart enorme. Je sais que j ai pas ete tres chanceux cette semaine mais bon.
D ou ma question l expected value est elle a prendre en compte ?
Je me demande bien comment il peut la calculer en realite.
There are some bugs in the EV calculation in both HM1 and HM2 currently depending on which site/games you are playing. Part of the holdup on the EV issues is related to the fact that we use a lookup table for EV which isn’t as accurate as full enumeration. Full enumeration seems to hurt import speeds pretty significantly, so were looking into a couple of options. We are considering a more accurate lookup table but this is a lot of work due to the combinations involved and it will be a while before the developers can implement it. Another option is giving the user the option of full enumeration or lookup tables but changing this would require a reimport and choosing the full enumeration, while it would be the most accurate, could slow import speeds significantly which would affect HM1 and HM2 both. Before we can implement this we first want to explore how accurate the new lookup table is.
Here is some general info regarding how tournament EV is calculated:
Luck Adjusted Winnings compares the change in the equity you have at the beginning of a hand with the end of the hand.
It only is calculated for hands where an all-in situation (before the river) takes place. And only can be calculated for single table tournaments.
Example:
$10 husng -->50% flip–> it works something like this
1500 vs 1500 chips:.
You win the SNG 50% of the time–> and your equity will be $20 (EV Diff = -$10) but 50% of the time you lose and your equity is $0. (EV Diff = +$10)
You Luck Adjusted Winnings will be the SUM of all the EV Diffs + your final equity.
Your final equity will be either $20 (if you win) or $0 (if you lose)
So in this example (1500 vs 1500 chips) the luck adjusted winnings will always be +$10 (no matter if you win or lose)
2500 (hero) vs 500 chips:
–>50% coinflip
This time you win the SNG 50% of the time–> and your equity will be $20
but 50% of the time you lose and you will have 2000 chips and your opponent will have 1000 chips.
1500 chips are worth $10 in equity, so when you lose the hand your equity will be $13.33
So your EV is 50% * $20 + 50% * $13.33 = $16.66
Therefore if you WIN the hand–> and your equity is $20 (the EV Diff will be -$3.33) and if you LOSE–> your equity will be $13.33 (EV Diff = +$3.33)
Also watch EV video at: FAQ - Hold'em Manager (HM1) Poker Tracking Software :: EV Explained
Read: EV in not all in situations